DeFi Risk Management

welcome to the eighth issue of "alpha unhashed", aarnâ's fortnightly newsletter on a decentralized & intelligent financial future.

In this edition we delve into DeFi risk management, exploring its various dimensions and strategies for a more secure and knowledgeable journey. In our DeFi roundup, we cover:

⛓️ advocacy group petitions USPTO

💰 ban Congress from trading! 

DeFi represents a paradigm shift in the financial ecosystem, facilitating transparent and automated financial transactions, with the promise of transparency, automation, and decentralized platforms – all of which challenge the crucial foundations of capital markets. However, with its advantages come a range of risks. Beyond the intricacies of smart contract design, there are security risks associated with custody and infrastructure, protocol risks stemming from governance decisions or underlying assets, and potential regulatory hurdles. 

For those navigating the DeFi sector, a good understanding of these dimensions is paramount.

Risk management theories within TradFi include a host of metrics to assess and navigate risks. Value-at-risk (VaR) provides an estimate of potential loss over a specific time frame at a given confidence level. Stress testing undertakes scenario analyses to highlight possible vulnerabilities under adverse conditions. Credit risk gauges the potential of borrower default, while liquidity risk assesses the ease of converting assets to cash without significant price alteration. Additionally, volatility, a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns, is pivotal in risk evaluation. The Sharpe ratio, comparing the potential return of an investment to its risk, further aids in optimizing portfolios. These standardized metrics and others serve as anchors in traditional financial risk management. Most of these concepts of risk management, however, are derived from the notion of a stable infrastructure and trusted intermediaries.

Which is not the case, as TradFi isn't immune to systemic risks, as evidenced by events like the global financial crisis. Issues such as fraud, central points of failure, and mismanagement expose its vulnerabilities.

DeFi's risks are predominantly tech-driven. Smart contracts, designed to auto-execute transactions, can have vulnerabilities. Flaws in protocol designs or security mechanisms, like private key management, further complicate the landscape. While TradFi benefits from regulatory oversight and some consumer protection, its vulnerabilities remain. DeFi, with its nebulous regulations, offers innovation but shifts more responsibility onto users. Grasping both sectors' risk profiles is crucial for informed financial participation.

1. Intrinsic Protocol Risk

> Risk mechanics that stem from a protocol’s design is what an intrinsic risk refers to. Even when the protocols are working as expected, they present risk in investment strategies or security risks, leading to unintended consequences like front-running attacks, or reentrancy attacks.

> Comprehensive audits by reputable third-party firms can identify and rectify potential issues. Additionally, using formally verified languages and adopting a modular design can make contracts more secure and easier to update or fix.

2. Extrinsic Protocol Risk

> DeFi trading is frequently exposed to external factors that disrupt the anticipated performance of the protocols. For example, price oracles that provide external data to smart contracts can be manipulated, leading to incorrect decisions. Or, liquidity on decentralised exchanges, flash loan exploits, can also impact the execution of transactions.

> Using reputable and secure oracles and considering multiple data sources to lower the risk of manipulation. Protocols utilizing low liquidity, highly volatile underlying tokens should only be used by experienced DeFi traders.

3. Governance Risk

> Increased centralisation of the governance structure in several DeFi protocols presents governance risks. Although DeFi governance appears decentralised, a few powerful players often hold sway in decisions. This isn't necessarily bad, as they're active and aligned with DeFi's goals. Yet, this could pose functional risks.

> Users could engage actively in governance proposals and voting to influence decisions. Diversifying governance power to avoid centralisation and fostering transparency in governance processes.

4. Blockchain Risk

> DeFi protocols rely on the infrastructure of their underlying blockchains. If elements like the consensus mechanisms of a particular blockchain are compromised, vulnerabilities can affect DeFi protocols operating on that network. For instance, in proof-of-stake (PoS) networks, validator cartels can collude to manipulate rewards and disrupt DeFi protocols.

> Though this is a high-level macro risk, users could exercise added caution when interacting with protocols built on new chains, as a plethora of new L1s and L2s emerge.

5. Interoperability and Integration Risks

> As DeFi platforms interact with each other and with various blockchains, issues in interoperability can arise. One platform's vulnerability can impact another due to their interconnected nature.

> Establishing standards for integration and ensuring thorough vetting of integrated platforms can reduce risks. Additionally, using decentralized oracles and trusted bridges can enhance secure cross-platform interactions.

6. Market Risk

> Inherent market risks in DeFi, for instance, non-stablecoin AMM pools that can suffer losses if asset prices change significantly after providing liquidity. Sudden asset price crashes can lead to massive liquidity withdrawals, causing severe slippage. And of course, impermanent loss in liquidity pools.

> Diversifying DeFi investments across different assets and protocols to spread risk. Using risk management tools such as stop-loss orders, stablecoins, and hedging strategies to secure investments against market volatility, and constant monitoring of liquidity pools - all are oversight mechanisms.

In summary: Managing risk in DeFi is paramount for the sustainability of individual users. By staying informed, diversifying, actively participating in governance, and implementing robust risk mitigation strategies, DeFi participants can navigate this evolving landscape more effectively. This is where intelligent asset management platforms like > aarnâ can make a difference in a user’s interaction with DeFi and creating risk managed opportunities via crypto structured products - a_fi vaults. Remember, as DeFi grows, adapting and learning will be key to safe and successful participation.

DeFi advocacy body has petitioned the USPTO to review a patent owned by a company it accused of being a “patent troll”.

Top DeFi lenders allowed a crypto CEO to take a risky bet, raising key questions about how they manage risk.

top DeFi tweets

Not DeFi, but on managing a big market risk! US Congressman introduces plan to ban Congress & their spouses from trading stocks. @WatcherGuru.

aarnâ's mission is to decentralize the alpha value chain, empowering everyone to benefit from DeFi’s transformative potential, and helping manage one’s crypto & digital assets wealth. >> Join our beta

hope you liked alpha unhashed. If you’d prefer to see it in your inbox at a particular time, click here & select a time slot.

Other Links

Thank you for reading alpha unhashed. feel free to share it.